Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.024305 0.026137 0.028049 0.030195 0.032538 0.035022 0.037860
2025-01-12 0.020881 0.023430 0.026225 0.029528 0.033338 0.037608 0.042777
2025-01-19 0.019092 0.022122 0.025575 0.029823 0.034936 0.040926 0.048529
2025-01-26 0.017594 0.020915 0.024818 0.029777 0.035959 0.043473 0.053396
2025-02-02 0.016604 0.020178 0.024492 0.030131 0.037381 0.046489 0.058955
2025-02-09 0.015497 0.019186 0.023741 0.029841 0.037897 0.048309 0.063019
2025-02-16 0.014617 0.018404 0.023174 0.029706 0.038545 0.050278 0.067347
2025-02-23 0.013810 0.017652 0.022581 0.029467 0.038997 0.051957 0.071337
2025-03-02 0.013180 0.017086 0.022185 0.029444 0.039707 0.053995 0.075934
2025-03-09 0.012475 0.016376 0.021547 0.029035 0.039826 0.055169 0.079307
2025-03-16 0.011788 0.015651 0.020844 0.028481 0.039684 0.055928 0.082066
2025-03-23 0.011259 0.015115 0.020369 0.028217 0.039928 0.057244 0.085740
2025-03-30 0.010754 0.014593 0.019895 0.027932 0.040133 0.058523 0.089476
2025-04-06 0.010186 0.013956 0.019225 0.027319 0.039800 0.058943 0.091834
2025-04-13 0.009922 0.013742 0.019151 0.027587 0.040823 0.061532 0.097958
2025-04-20 0.009589 0.013410 0.018886 0.027545 0.041348 0.063342 0.102878
2025-04-27 0.009380 0.013249 0.018863 0.027868 0.042463 0.066167 0.109767
2025-05-04 0.009028 0.012860 0.018480 0.027603 0.042603 0.067367 0.113829
2025-05-11 0.008735 0.012548 0.018198 0.027480 0.042961 0.068945 0.118687
2025-05-18 0.008437 0.012214 0.017868 0.027262 0.043142 0.070218 0.123054
2025-05-25 0.008203 0.011971 0.017667 0.027241 0.043652 0.072086 0.128691
2025-06-01 0.007900 0.011609 0.017264 0.026868 0.043528 0.072809 0.132135
2025-06-08 0.007584 0.011215 0.016797 0.026363 0.043145 0.073032 0.134588